First of all, that's not totally true about the contract. If all the money weren't guaranteed, then some of it could have been front-loaded or backloaded. How much of a dead cap hit would depend on how they structured it. The worst part of Cousins' contract is that the money goes UP every year -- 24, 29.5, 30.5. Granted, the Vikings never expected his play to go the opposite direction. I certainly didn't. For most contracts, the hit goes DOWN over time, not up. The Vikings bet the farm on Cousins, and they're already selling off the chickens. Comparing his contract to a surefire Hall-of-Famer isn't a fair comparison.Raptorman wrote: ↑Thu Oct 03, 2019 5:12 amLet's clear something up about Cousins contract. People need to get over this guaranteed stuff. Instead of 3 years guaranteed, let's say Cousins signed a 5-year deal worth $124 million with $84 million guaranteed. The Vikings would be in the same situation. The only difference is the length of the contact. Take Rodgers's latest deal. $134 million, $98.7 guaranteed. Now, currently, Rodgers is playing slightly better than Cousins. If he doesn't get any better and continues his suckiness the Packers are on the hook for $53.7 million in dead cap in 2020. The assumption being is that Aaron Rodgers in 2020 is going to be the player he was in 2015. The Packers can't dump him until 2022. and will still have an $11 million cap hit if they do.J. Kapp 11 wrote: ↑Wed Oct 02, 2019 10:23 pm
It's interesting ... this thread is about Case Keenum, and if we can't agree that he had a GREAT 2017 season, then the conversation ends with me right there. He was an MVP candidate, plain and simple. Not the MVP, but a candidate. Go back and watch the highlights. He did things that season that Kirk Cousins has never done and never will do. It's just a fact. It's easy to linger on the so-called lucky plays. Go back and watch all the great plays, great throws, great reads, and great scrambles to move the chains (talking about picking up first downs with his legs). It's all there on YouTube. Sorry PHP, but you can't tell me, with any sort of intellectual honesty, that he didn't play his a$$ off in 2017.
So ... was 2017 an outlier? Would Keenum have been as good under somebody other than Shurmur? I think you have a point there -- I won't concede a "win," but a definite point. Pat Shurmur has always been a coach who tailors his offense to his players' strengths, rather than trying to shoehorn players into a system. He set Keenum up for success, no doubt. Even though any talk about what Keenum WOULD HAVE DONE or WOULD NOT HAVE DONE is pure speculation, it's not a bad argument.
But in my opinion, the real point of this conversation isn't Case Keenum at all. It's Kirk Cousins.
Nobody would even be mentioning the name Case Keenum if Kirk Cousins were doing what the Vikings paid him to do. Cousins has a reputation for piling up empty stats -- this year, he doesn't even have the stats. He's not doing his job, and he'd be the first to admit it. I mean, for crying out loud, the man apologized to Adam Thielen in a podcast. Do we really want the leader of our football team doing something like that in public? Mike Zimmer doesn't.
You say Cousins' contract isn't hurting the Vikings. I couldn't disagree more. The problem isn't the amount. It's the fact that all the money is fully guaranteed. What happens if Cousins is as bad the next month or six weeks as he was against Chicago? Think it can't happen? Look at the schedule. At KC. At Dallas. At Seattle. At Detroit, which just gave Patrick Mahomes all he could handle. What then? WE CAN'T CUT HIM. We can't move on. The dead money would kill us. We can't realistically even bench him. We're on the hook for $29.5 million this season and $30 million next season. That's about a sixth of the cap. Don't mean to go back to Keenum, but if we were paying Case 18-20 million dollars, you don't think that $10 million would make a difference? Maybe we could have made a play for one of the top O-linemen who were available.
Again, if Cousins were playing lights out, the contract wouldn't matter. But when he's taking up a sixth of our cap space and playing as the 31st ranked QB in the league, it's a big, big problem. You can blame the O-line, but not totally. I watched the coaches' film against the Bears. He had time on a lot of throws. He missed reads and open receivers. One play he had a huge pocket, completely clean. Rudolph was wide open 15 yards down the field on a crossing route, and Stefon Diggs was open for a TD deep, at least 5 yards behind the defense. But instead targeting either guy, he checked down to Mattison ... and didn't even set his feet to throw that pass. He was worried about a rush that wasn't there. That's dumpster-fire-category play.
My only point regarding Case Keenum is this ... if Case Keenum were still a Viking AND playing at the level he was playing in 2017, we'd be undefeated. Big if, I realize. But you'll never convince me the statement isn't true because Keenum was a stud in '17.
And there is zero way one can claim that if QB "A" was on this team that we would be undefeated. If he was playing at the level of 2017, If he was on the team. If worms had guns, birds wouldn't mess with them.
As for the QB "A" comment, let me clarify. If the Vikings were getting quarterback play at the LEVEL Case Keenum played in 2017, it's very likely we'd be undefeated. Forget the name Case Keenum. I'm just talking about the level of play. And I can say this with a reasonable amount of certainty because both our losses featured terrible play by Cousins.