A hit is a player who makes the team better in a meaningful way. They are guys who you would say are a good draft pick even if you drafted them in an earlier round. If a guy would be considered a bust if he were drafted in the 3rd, like a Kearse, Odenigbo or Stephen would be, then he isn't a hit in the 6th or 7th round.Pondering Her Percy wrote: ↑Wed Jun 09, 2021 6:37 amFirst of all, define a "hit".StumpHunter wrote: ↑Tue Jun 08, 2021 3:12 pm
If it were that simple no team would ever trade up in those late rounds, and every GM would be doing the same thing Rick is doing. Instead we see successful GMs trade back in the early rounds for 3rd rounders and even 2nd rounders, accumulating those, and we see the unsuccessful GM of the Vikings trading back in the 3rd to pickup up those late round picks that never work out.
0 hits in the 48 picks he has accumulated in the 6th and 7th round and 10 for 14 in the 3rd round since 2011, and you wonder why I am okay with him trading for more 3rd round picks but not for trading back for those 6th and 7th rounders?
Second, there havent been any Tom Brady's coming out of those rounds for us. However, they've found a lot of valuable contributors which is what you're really looking for in those rounds. Anything better than that is a cherry on top. But I dont really know how many "hits" you really expect out of those rounds. It's the 6th and 7th round, the chances arent high. However, if you're in the 3rd round, can trade down lets say 10 picks and get an equivalent player PLUS gain a freebie at the end, why would you not?
That's like buying an item and then getting a free t-shirt or something with it. Like you dont really need the t-shirt, you have plenty but you'll take it right? Chances are slim that it becomes one of your favorite t-shirts, but there is most definitely a chance.
If you are risking out on Danielle Hunter or Stephon Diggs, for a Kearse, Stephen, Fusco, or Weatherly at BEST, that is a bad gamble. To use your analogy, that is like waiting an hour to buy something that is in high demand and has a limited quantity and that could sell out, so you can get a free T-shirt. If you don't really want the thing, sure take that chance, if you think you have possibly the best pass rusher or WR in the draft sitting there you run to the podium. Rick didn't run to the podium which means he was just really lucky to get those two guys he wasn't all that high on, or he made a really bad gamble on guys he had identified as possible great players.