If you're going to look at stats... Be smart about it. The probowl is about the best and most talented players, not those who win the most fantasy football games but throw 5INTs for TDs and lose the game.
-If Teddy had as many passing attempts as Phil Rivers and maintained the same yards per attempt, he'd have ranked 3rd in NFL yardage ahead of Tom Brady. So his ability to produce yards with even a conservative mentality is there if he was asked to throw the ball often. Even if you just set everyone at an average number of attempts and adjust players, Teddy would see a boost while many of the "top QBs" in yards would see a drop.
-If he didn't have as many throw aways and grounding at the feet as a result of responding to his coaching and a conservative offense, he'd have even more. He might have more INTs and we might have not won the North... But who cares, right?
. You could say that about everyone, but I mean if you adjusted for everyone, Teddy would see a more substantial boost than most because of the nature of the offense.
-You could use stats and math to approximate how offensive line play effects stats. In short, you could use a combination of league baseline stats under pressure and when not under pressure and adjust for how frequently a player was under pressure. In 2014 I think Teddy was under pressure a whopping 40% of all plays... Meaning when teams would rush 4 defenders, 40% of the time Teddy dropped back, he had a defender in his face. Blitz stats were calculated differently. I don't have the stats this year, but can't imagine it improved all that much with Sullivan and Loadholdt on IR. Teddy also was #1 in the NFL, ahead of Drew Brees on accuracy under pressure in 2014. Success in spite of poor OL play is an elite trait to have. If you adjusted for OL, Teddy would see a humongous boost in stats adjusted for his situation.
-If you look at stats like Eli Manning when throwing to Odell Beckham Vs any other WR or any other QB with a top WR and see the difference it makes, it's intuitive that Teddy would see a huge boost... but would be super taxing to calculate how much the average #1 WR boosts a QBs stats, how much each QB goes to the #1, and how much the QB would then produce with an "average #1 WR"...
-put him on a team with a bad defense and he's certain to get more yards and TDs per attempt with defense playing prevent late in the game.
Nevertheless... Bridgewater doesn't have a single WR on his team that was either drafted or acquired through trade for more than a 4th rounder (Patterson doesn't count because he doesn't see the field). He would see a substantial boost, particularly in deep all accuracy and deepball stats which he struggles in if he were throwing to Julio Jones, AJ Green, or Odell Beckham... Or even Mike Evans... Particularly if he had time and didn't face inside pressure that forced him to roll out.
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If you could have every QB play a full season with an average offense.... Teddy would
project to have stats in the top 10, no question and possibly top 5. The big caveat there is projections assume all things remain equal.
In reality, when you pass more, play action works less well, more players are in coverage, more defenders are keyed on the pass rather than the run, and the stats don't end up as well as the projections.
Put Teddy in the shotgun all game and have him throw 50 times a game just one game and I guarentee you he passes for 300 yards and multiple TDs. Do that in an entire season and Teddy with zero additional development will break records.... Do that for 10 years and Teddy will be talked about with the all time greats... Probably right next to Dan Marino... Because people love highlights and record stats even if they're inflated and meaningless.
Since 6 QBs make the probowl and 1 of the best this year are in the Super Bowl, I don't know why anyone thinks Teddy doesn't deserve to go... Especially when several turned down invites and ELI fricking Manning made it.
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