StumpHunter wrote: ↑Tue Jun 08, 2021 11:32 am
Pondering Her Percy wrote: ↑Tue Jun 08, 2021 10:24 am
Point is, CharVike claims these moves and trade downs were costing us Super Bowls. That is false.
I agree. This isn't why we haven't won a SB. It is a bad strategy to risk getting a guy you want to pick up picks that don't amount to anything, but it likely isn't costing us multiple wins a season.
And in the end, those trades ended up landing us Alexander Mattison, Cam Smith, Marcus Epps, Oli Udoh, Kris Boyd and Dillon Mitchell. Again most were flyers, some who became depth pieces, others who didnt make the team. But when you move back 21 spots and lose very little, if anything at all, but receive all these extra flyers, who in the right mind wouldnt take that chance? You're getting free draft picks and we all know the draft is a crap shoot.
No other GM takes that chance as often as Rick does though. Probably because all they end up with when they trade down is guys like Udoh, Epps, Boyd and Mitchell. The type that will be available in UDFAs and on the waiver wire anyway. If the Vikings really liked Mattison, why would you risk losing him for that kind of return?
For example, Diggs.
We got Diggs via the trade to Buffalo for Cassel and then we risked him going to multiple teams by trading that pick for the chance to draft Tyrus Thompson. Think about that, we risked Diggs and eventually JJ since that is who we got for him, for the chance to draft Tyrus Thompson. How is that a good drafting strategy?
In that same draft we risked losing out on Hunter for BJ Dubose and Mycole Pruitt by trading down TWICE.
That is like passing on a million dollar sure thing bet for the chance to win a million and 1 dollars. It just doesn't make sense to me.
Dude did you not read what you just wrote?! You literally just said.....
Trading down in the 1st when you have a range of guys who you like equally to pick up picks in a round where you have had a ton of success is the right move every time."
What on earth do you think I'm saying??!! It's the same difference. It doesnt matter the round. Nor what round "you have success in". That's like saying you're the Browns and you havent had success in round 1 so you're going to trade down so you can gain picks in the 3rd round where you've maybe had some luck in the past. Like what??? Any team can strike gold at any point in the draft. Yes, some rounds its more likely you hit but either way it's still the same gain/loss.
If you trade down in round 1 to pick 23 and gain two 3rd rounders with it, how is that any different in terms of value compared to trading
Do you really think when the pick was approaching for the Vikings that they only had ONE guy they liked in those mid rounds and decide to trade down 21 picks? No clearly there are multiple and it's why they are doing it. Because they can still land a player of value along with free fliers.
But either way, look at the draft value chart (which by the way, teams do still use, just simply watch the Carolina draft room video).
Yes I think the trade down this year was an excellent move:
We moved down to 23 and gained 66 and 86 by giving up 14 and 143. How does that shake out on the draft value chart? Good for the Vikings.
Vikings get 1,680 points in total, the Jets gain 1,292. That's a 30% gain on our part.
Now lets look at the trade downs in 2019 where we eventually landed Mattison.
We essentially gave up pick 81 in the 3rd round for picks 102, 162, 191, 193, 217 and 239
Vikings get 489 points vs the opposition which gained 308. That's a 59% gain on the Vikings part.
How you dont understand that that trade was 100% worth the chance in value is beyond me.