mansquatch wrote: ↑Wed Sep 25, 2019 9:57 am
Ideally the defense puts up a decent game where we can win this only scoring 13 or so points. That is manageable and given the Bears' offensive woes, it should be an expectation.
This isn't a game where we are going to get up 14-0 by the 2nd quarter. IMO, the major theme of this game is ball security and our defense doing it's job. In a lot of ways it shouldn't be about what Cousins can do, but about what he doesn't do. Don't turn the ball over. I think if we are smart with our risk plays, play a good field position game, then we can take shots when it is opportune to do so and win with a few successful drives. As I said earlier this week:
Pacing.
If you had told me the Packers would get up 21-0 in the first 16 minutes of the game at Lambeau, I wouldn't have believed it. Not with the way that offense had looked to that point, and not with the defense the Vikings have.
But there it was - the Vikings staring up at a huge deficit with just over a quarter of the game gone.
So while it isn't likely the Vikings (or Bears, for that matter) jump out to a substantial early lead, it could happen. For either team, I guess. I'm still not sold that the Vikings have a defense that can play consistently for 60 minutes, and they've shown a penchant for making Mitchell Trubisky look much better than he is in the times they've faced him.
Turnovers are a factor in the score as well. If it's a straight-up slugfest where both defenses play well and both offenses struggle, it's going to come down to which defense can create that key turnover or get the key stop.
While I don't expect it to happen, I could see the Vikings jumping out to a big early lead. I could also see the Bears doing the same. Both teams have the potential to do it as both teams have particular strengths and weaknesses that, if exploited, could create a lopsided outcome.
Most likely is a low-scoring game that more closely resembles the Packer-Bear game to start the season. In that kind of game, big plays will be at a premium and mistakes will likely determine the outcome.