Re: Wildcard at Saints pre game
Posted: Fri Jan 03, 2020 4:48 pm
Why are my expectations for this game slowly being raised? 

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Not an unfair stat, but a bit of context helps. The offense kept the defense on the field for a very long time (2 to 1 TOP in both games), particularly in those last two games listed there, which inflates those numbers a bit. SEA absolutely ran the Vikings over in that game, so you also can't just blame the TOP on the offense. Still, a bit more nuance is helpful.Mothman wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 4:10 pm Good post, Mansquatch.
I have to add my #1 concern about this upcoming game (and a big concern with Zimmer's defense), which is something I feel often gets overlooked: run defense.
Take a look at the rushing yards allowed in the 4 games you mentioned:
@GB: 144 yards rushing
@KC: 147 yards rushing
@SEA: 218 yards rushing
GB: 184 yards rushing
That, my friends, is what losing football looks like.
I suspect Sean Payton is well aware of this weakness and I won't be surprised if the Saints try to exploit in on Sunday.
This sucks.
Whether the offense is contributing to the problem or not, it's still a recipe for losing football games.fiestavike wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 6:13 pmNot an unfair stat, but a bit of context helps. The offense kept the defense on the field for a very long time (2 to 1 TOP in both games), particularly in those last two games listed there, which inflates those numbers a bit. SEA absolutely ran the Vikings over in that game, so you also can't just blame the TOP on the offense. Still, a bit more nuance is helpful.
If Kendricks can't go, it would really hurt.J. Kapp 11 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 7:02 pmThis sucks.
We finally get everybody back on offense, and now this. Plus it’s not certain if Kendricks will play. Even Andrew Sendejo is questionable.
The Vikings signed Marcus Sherels. He’ll return punts. Hopefully he won’t have to play corner.
10 times is an expression of mine. As a team that D had 26 ints VS 17 for us this year. That's a huge difference. Browner had 6 and missed at least the 4 replacement games. Almost 1/2 of what our entire team had by one player. Doleman had 11 sacks and again missed 1/4 of the season at least. I'm nor sure what Millard had but he's much better than any guy we can send out there. Most have said the Saints are the team to play. I'd rather play the Eagles. We are better than that team. We are not a pushover I agree with that. But Cook is our main guy on O. We need him back and playing like he did the 1st half. Him playing at top form makes us a scary team. If he's second half Cook it takes a lot away from us. This O is designed around him. I don't even know what his problem is now. But he hasn't been the same the 2nd half. He's a very important piece and maybe the most important for this O we run.Dames wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 10:23 am87 was a better D than this year, but I wouldn't say they are 10 times better. I don't think we are typical 6 seed at all, our point differential is better than most 6 seeds, and in line with some of the better 6 seeds in recent history. We dominated poor competition generally, and we lost close games against better competition. Yep, we had some awful games vs GB, but against the rest of the playoffs teams we faced, we were highly competitive. We dominated Philly, even though they are clearly the weakest playoff team. Still they are a playoff team. We are far from a pushover. We drew 1 of the toughest teams in the playoffs round 1 though, but even they have had some stinkers this year.CharVike wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 10:01 am Indoor and turf I think is the best. This 87 stuff keeps going around. That 87 squad was a much better team. That team lost games during the regular season because of the replacement games. I think we lost all of them. But that 87 team could play some D. We don't have a DT that can even be mentioned with Millard. And Doleman. Forget it but that team was 10 times more talented than this squad IMO. We are a typical 6th seed. We beat all the garbage we played and when we had to beat a good team we couldn't. That last Pack game showed the true colors. The Pack beat us to a pulp. They dominated the action across the board. They owned the LOS. They swept us this year. Doesn't that show anything? That 87 team never allowed that. The talent was too good. They took over the LOS. IMO it all starts there. Looks like the NFL has three levels now. Top teams, decent teams and jokes. The bottom two levels can't beat the top teams. That's why they are were they are at. This year worked for us because we didn't let a garbage team beat us. If we did we would be at home right now. I'd rather play the Eagles. We are better than them. That has been proven. This Saint team will come down to three things. Cook needs to explode just like D Nelson did in 87, our D needs to apply tremendous pressure and then our Special Teams need to make a play. If all that happens we will win. No sense in looking backwards 30 years ago. That means nothing at this point.
I agree that Cook is a huge key to this game. Even if he isn't completely effective, we need him to keep their D from making us one dimensional. They have to respect Cook if he's in the game. If he dominates, it could be fun afternoon.
That is decidedly NOT what happened against Green Bay.Mothman wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 7:47 pmWhether the offense is contributing to the problem or not, it's still a recipe for losing football games.fiestavike wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 6:13 pmNot an unfair stat, but a bit of context helps. The offense kept the defense on the field for a very long time (2 to 1 TOP in both games), particularly in those last two games listed there, which inflates those numbers a bit. SEA absolutely ran the Vikings over in that game, so you also can't just blame the TOP on the offense. Still, a bit more nuance is helpful.
I understand how one unit can impact the other but the "offense kept the defense on the field" argument kind of breezes past the fact that the defense can control their own situation when they're on the field. If they wear down, it's usually because they aren't stopping the opposing offense, although turnovers and kick returns can sometimes put them back on the field too quickly.
The defense wore down but the Packers had 66 yards rushing and 221 yards of total offense by halftime. They had 3 sustained scoring drives (one was 13 plays long) in the first half. I thought the Vikings defense was opportunistic and they were able to bend without breaking for a while in that game but I wouldn't call it a "lights out" defensive performance. I think that first half production by the Packers undermines the argument that the Vikes wore down simply because their offense couldn't sustain drives.J. Kapp 11 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 9:02 pmThat is decidedly NOT what happened against Green Bay.Mothman wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 7:47 pm
Whether the offense is contributing to the problem or not, it's still a recipe for losing football games.
I understand how one unit can impact the other but the "offense kept the defense on the field" argument kind of breezes past the fact that the defense can control their own situation when they're on the field. If they wear down, it's usually because they aren't stopping the opposing offense, although turnovers and kick returns can sometimes put them back on the field too quickly.
The defense was playing lights out against both the run and the pass. But the offense was so horribly inept that TOP was about 40-20 in favor of Green Bay. The defense definitely wore down that game, which is why Aaron Jones broke the big run.
The only "positive" is we will see more of Hill who I think should have been playing more weeks ago. Mac is a big loss but I think Hill is better than Hughes right now. Dont be surprised if you see Kearse running a lot of big nickel which I really like the idea of. This might not be as bad as some thing.J. Kapp 11 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 7:02 pmThis sucks.
We finally get everybody back on offense, and now this. Plus it’s not certain if Kendricks will play. Even Andrew Sendejo is questionable.
The Vikings signed Marcus Sherels. He’ll return punts. Hopefully he won’t have to play corner.
Report is he's going to playMothman wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 7:47 pmIf Kendricks can't go, it would really hurt.J. Kapp 11 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 7:02 pm
This sucks.
We finally get everybody back on offense, and now this. Plus it’s not certain if Kendricks will play. Even Andrew Sendejo is questionable.
The Vikings signed Marcus Sherels. He’ll return punts. Hopefully he won’t have to play corner.![]()
TOP works both ways. How about the defense giving it back to the offense. The model has been laid out already. That great Bear defense under Buddy Ryan didn't let you run the ball. It was 3 and out over and over. That KC game was one that was handed to us. A backup QB so that impacts the passing game. Stuff the run and let the stiff try passing. I'm a firm believer that it all starts at the LOS. Win that battle and it gives you the best chance. Lose it and it gets harder to do anything. That's how the Pack dominated us twice. They won the LOS battle. That #55 dominated the LOS. Was it every play of course not. This Jordan guy for the Saints will be the hard one to control.fiestavike wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 6:13 pmNot an unfair stat, but a bit of context helps. The offense kept the defense on the field for a very long time (2 to 1 TOP in both games), particularly in those last two games listed there, which inflates those numbers a bit. SEA absolutely ran the Vikings over in that game, so you also can't just blame the TOP on the offense. Still, a bit more nuance is helpful.Mothman wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 4:10 pm Good post, Mansquatch.
I have to add my #1 concern about this upcoming game (and a big concern with Zimmer's defense), which is something I feel often gets overlooked: run defense.
Take a look at the rushing yards allowed in the 4 games you mentioned:
@GB: 144 yards rushing
@KC: 147 yards rushing
@SEA: 218 yards rushing
GB: 184 yards rushing
That, my friends, is what losing football looks like.
I suspect Sean Payton is well aware of this weakness and I won't be surprised if the Saints try to exploit in on Sunday.
That's fine. I'm not making an argument that the vikings defensive woes can all be pinned on the offense, just adding a bit of nuance. Outside of the Seattle game, the vikings run defense has at least been in the realm of reasonable on a play by play basis, which actually matters (is an indication and measure of something significant) far more than the total rushing yards stat in a box score. The Seattle game was the really bad one for the vikings run defense.CharVike wrote: ↑Sat Jan 04, 2020 6:31 amTOP works both ways. How about the defense giving it back to the offense. The model has been laid out already. That great Bear defense under Buddy Ryan didn't let you run the ball. It was 3 and out over and over. That KC game was one that was handed to us. A backup QB so that impacts the passing game. Stuff the run and let the stiff try passing. I'm a firm believer that it all starts at the LOS. Win that battle and it gives you the best chance. Lose it and it gets harder to do anything. That's how the Pack dominated us twice. They won the LOS battle. That #55 dominated the LOS. Was it every play of course not. This Jordan guy for the Saints will be the hard one to control.fiestavike wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 6:13 pm
Not an unfair stat, but a bit of context helps. The offense kept the defense on the field for a very long time (2 to 1 TOP in both games), particularly in those last two games listed there, which inflates those numbers a bit. SEA absolutely ran the Vikings over in that game, so you also can't just blame the TOP on the offense. Still, a bit more nuance is helpful.
I agree. Mac is an excellent slot corner, and Hill replacing him could be a big dropoff. I am lot less concerned about Hughes being out, although the CB rotation they had going seemed to be working well.Pondering Her Percy wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 10:54 pmThe only "positive" is we will see more of Hill who I think should have been playing more weeks ago. Mac is a big loss but I think Hill is better than Hughes right now. Dont be surprised if you see Kearse running a lot of big nickel which I really like the idea of. This might not be as bad as some thing.J. Kapp 11 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 03, 2020 7:02 pm
This sucks.
We finally get everybody back on offense, and now this. Plus it’s not certain if Kendricks will play. Even Andrew Sendejo is questionable.
The Vikings signed Marcus Sherels. He’ll return punts. Hopefully he won’t have to play corner.