Mothman wrote:
It sounds like you just read it!
As I wrote yesterday, my point was that "BPA" has become overused rhetoric, used to justify any pick fans like and/or want to defend, especially after the first round.
That's it. That was the point.
I've sort of lost the thread of your conversation, but my take...
If a fan has some method of ranking the players, they can use that to measure the value of a given pick from their personal perspective (for whatever thats worth). If they have a source that ranks the players which they trust, they can use that to measure the value of a given pick (essentially from the trusted source's perspective). If they have neither of those things, they can choose to believe or disbelieve that the team used their own measure to select the best player available (which is probably the wisest course of action for the team, but how many teams really do it?). Or a fan/analyst can "wait three years" and then note who worked out the best, but that's a pretty worthless metric except as it reveals over time whether the system a team uses to rank players is working and/or if the GM is/isn't following that measure. Or if the coach isn't getting the most out of it.
You need all 3 of those things, for a GM is to make good bets, and for a scouting staff is to get good intelligence, and for a coach to develop and utilize. a breakdown on any end and you aren't likely to have great success.