dead_poet wrote:Congrats to AD! He just keeps muscling his way up the charts and into our hearts (said in Casey Kasem voice). So happy he's a Viking (and hopefully for life).
How much higher do you think he can realistically get barring no significant injury?
Good question. He only needs 35 yards to move up another notch on the list, past Steven Jackson. Another 342 would move him past Fred Taylor into the #16 spot. He trails Frank Gore (#15) by 376 so since Gore is still active and playing, it might be hard to catch him this year but Peterson could
conceivably be in the #15 or #16 spot this year.
If he continues his pace this year at 106 yards/game for five more games (I'm tossing in a playoff game), he'll have 11,884 rushing yards going into his age 31 season (1,694 on the season). If he plays three more years (conservatively) and averages 1,000 yards per year, he'll have accumulated 14,884 yards, which would put him into fourth place all-time. I think that's pretty doable. If he can manage just 386 more yards than that in his career (15,270), he'll surpass Barry Sanders for #3. I think that's probably a realistic ceiling. Walter Peyton has 16,726 and of course Emmitt Smith has 18,355, which I'll say right now is insurmountable for AD. His year-long suspension really hurt him in his chase for #2 or #1 all-time. I hope we get to see at least three more years of AD destroying offenses.
I agree that losing almost an entire season really hurt his chances to ever catch Smith. I think the #2 spot is in reach for him but it would be tough. A lot depends on health and longevity.
I'm eager to see how high he can climb on that list.
He has a very realistic chance to become the Vikings all-time TD leader (outside of the QB position). CC holds the mark with 110. Peterson currently has 99 TDs.