Looking ahead at the schedules

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PurpleKoolaid
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Re: Looking ahead at the schedules

Post by PurpleKoolaid »

7-9 is the most realistic number. Which isn't bad considering a new coaching staff and rookie qb. And with the #1 offensive weapon letting his team down and maybe wont see a play this year. Now if the NFL decides to let AD play, 8-8 and very doable. And a lot of momentum going into next year.
Orion
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Re: Looking ahead at the schedules

Post by Orion »

If Peterson returns for Green Bay, we can very well get at least 9 wins. The toughest games will be Detroit, Green bay and Miami. The games against the jets, Panthers and Bears should be wins, they all suck. If we can somehow take 2 of those tough 3, we have a shot at the playoffs.
When you're born, you get a ticket to the freak show. When you're born in America, you get a front row seat.
joe h
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Re: Looking ahead at the schedules

Post by joe h »

Two games back for the wild, with three teams between us and the last spot. We would definitely have to win out.

Dallas has the toughest schedule, good chance they could lose out: 4 division games are away, plus Philadelphia at home. Chicago away and Indy at home.

Seattle probably two or three losses: at kc, Arizona twice, sf twice, at phili, then an easy Rams game at home as their last.

San Francisco maybe one or two losses: seattle twice(hopefully they split), dc, at Giants and Oakland, last game with Arizona.

Green Bay hopefully 3 losses: phili, New England, Atlanta, Detroit at home, buffalo, Tampa, Minnesota away
Noxage
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Re: Looking ahead at the schedules

Post by Noxage »

10% playoff probability according to an Elo model.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/week ... yoff-odds/

That conforms nicely to what the confirmation bias monster inside me is saying.

Slight dogs this week according to that model (1.5 points) and betting markets (3 points).
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